Wiltzvs
Progres Niederkorn
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiltz 1-2 Progres Niederkorn
Original prediction
Progres Niederkorn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.26 | 17.3% | 20.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.5% | 21.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.2% | 58.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Progres Niederkorn
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60