GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wiltz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wiltz 1-2 F91 Dudelange

Original prediction

Wiltz

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9031.1%44.9%13.7 pts
Draw3.5925.2%24.1%-1.2 pts
Away2.0743.6%31.1%-12.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Wiltz

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Wiltz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WiltzLLWDL

GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
F91 DudelangeWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
WiltzF91 Dudelange
75.0Attack25.0
25.0Defence41.7
33.3Form25.0
41.9Power34.2
2.12xG1.33
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