GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wiltz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wiltz are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while AS Jeunesse Esch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wiltz hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (69.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the National Division, while Wiltz holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wiltz

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Wiltz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WiltzLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
AS Jeunesse EschLWLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WiltzAS Jeunesse Esch
100.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
69.2Power21.5
2.26xG1.11
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