Wiślanie Jaśkowicevs
Star Starachowice
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiślanie Jaśkowice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-0 Star Starachowice, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 Star Starachowice
Original prediction
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.2% | 47.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 24.9% | 24.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Projected Score
Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1–0 Star Starachowice
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20