Wiślanie Jaśkowicevs
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiślanie Jaśkowice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiślanie Jaśkowice 4-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Original prediction
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 48.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 27.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.9% | 24.5% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40