Wiślanie Jaśkowicevs
Jarosław
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wiślanie Jaśkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-1 Jarosław
Original prediction
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.9% | 38.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 26.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.2% | 34.7% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Wiślanie Jaśkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00