Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thun W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wil W are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Thun W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (11.7 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Thun W holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thun W
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Thun W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00