GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wikielec are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WikielecLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzDWDWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WikielecWarta Sieradz
36.3Attack42.2
54.9Defence52.9
42.2Form43.1
45.3Power47.4
1.11xG1.06
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