GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/25/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wikielec are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WikielecLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Warta SieradzLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WikielecWarta Sieradz
36.3Attack42.2
54.9Defence52.9
42.2Form43.1
45.3Power47.4
1.11xG1.06
View match centre →