GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/11/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wikielec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WikielecDWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WikielecUnia Skierniewice
36.3Attack76.5
54.9Defence54.9
42.2Form63.7
45.3Power63.6
1.01xG2.02
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