Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wikielec are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Troszyn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80