Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wikielec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wikielec are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Łomża are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wikielec hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wikielec holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wikielec
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Wikielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80