GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/27/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wikielec · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wikielec are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wikielec holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wikielec

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Wikielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WikielecLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WikielecJagiellonia II
36.3Attack48.0
54.9Defence46.1
42.2Form44.1
45.3Power46.8
1.27xG1.21
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