GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/8/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wikielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Wikielec are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 5.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wikielec hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wikielec holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wikielec

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Wikielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WikielecLWLWW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Concordia ElblągLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 29 · avg 0.20/5.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
WikielecConcordia Elbląg
36.3Attack36.3
54.9Defence3.9
42.2Form29.4
45.3Power24.3
2.12xG0.86
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