Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wikielec are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80