Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wikielec are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40