Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wikielec are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60