Wigry Suwałkivs
Weszlo
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Weszlo
Original prediction
Wigry Suwałki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.4% | 40.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 27.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wigry Suwałki
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40