GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/26/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wigry Suwałki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wigry SuwałkiLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wigry SuwałkiUnia Skierniewice
45.1Attack76.5
62.7Defence54.9
47.1Form63.7
52.8Power63.6
1.28xG1.64
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