GGOALVIO

Wigry Suwałki logoWigry SuwałkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm. logoPolonia Lidzbark Warm.

SCHEDULED

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wigry Suwałki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold a 8.6-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.7%

Model confidence

12.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wigry SuwałkiDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LWWLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wigry SuwałkiPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
45.1Attack45.1
62.7Defence41.2
47.1Form40.2
52.8Power44.2
1.77xG0.91
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