GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/30/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wigry Suwałki are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wigry SuwałkiDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.LDWDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wigry SuwałkiPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
45.1Attack45.1
62.7Defence41.2
47.1Form40.2
52.8Power44.2
1.77xG0.91
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