Wigry Suwałkivs
Nieciecza
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 5:47:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigry Suwałki 1-5 Nieciecza
Original prediction
Wigry Suwałki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.0% | 41.2% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.1% | 33.9% | -15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Wigry Suwałki
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00