GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/13/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wigry Suwałki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wigry SuwałkiLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IIDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wigry SuwałkiJagiellonia II
45.1Attack48.0
62.7Defence46.1
47.1Form44.1
52.8Power46.8
1.61xG0.98
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