Wiganvs
Stockport County
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigan 0-4 Stockport County
Original prediction
Stockport County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 31.2% | 26.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 42.0% | 47.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Stockport County
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Stockport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80