GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/6/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wigan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Stockport County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigan

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WiganWDDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Stockport CountyDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WiganStockport County
86.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
60.0Form33.3
67.7Power40.9
2.58xG1.02
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