Wiganvs
Salford City
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Wigan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Salford City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
71.6%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60