Wiganvs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Wigan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20