Wiganvs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigan 3-1 Milton Keynes Dons
Original prediction
Milton Keynes Dons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.5% | 33.1% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.9% | 28.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.7% | 38.9% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40