Wiganvs
Fleetwood Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Wigan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60