Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 04:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WiganLWLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BarnsleyLLLDD
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
WiganBarnsley
20.8Attack33.3
45.8Defence37.5
16.7Form33.3
30.2Power37.2
1.13xG1.07