Wigan Athletic U21vs
Coventry City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigan Athletic U21 2-2 Coventry City U21
Original prediction
Wigan Athletic U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.7% | 42.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.4% | 22.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.0% | 35.3% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Wigan Athletic U21
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Wigan Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60