Wigan Athletic U21vs
Colchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wigan Athletic U21 6-4 Colchester United U21
Original prediction
Wigan Athletic U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 42.9% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.2% | 22.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.2% | 35.0% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Wigan Athletic U21
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Wigan Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60