CupCup
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Wieselburg

Wieselburg

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WSG Wattens

WSG Wattens

Away
L
TTI-Arena
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Wieselburg(34%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Wieselburg
34%
Draw
23%
WSG Wattens
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.30 xG for Wieselburg and 3.32 xG for WSG Wattens — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-3 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Wieselburg holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.62 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-3 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (WSG Wattens)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (WSG Wattens)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
WSG WattensWSG Wattens
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Wieselburg34%
Draw23%
WSG Wattens43%

WSG Wattens leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

WSG Wattens Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-3

Wieselburg host WSG Wattens in Cup. Wieselburg have recorded LLLDLL in recent matches while WSG Wattens arrive with a run of WLDLLW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 6.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.32 expected goals for WSG Wattens against 1.30 for Wieselburg — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📈 Recent Form WSG Wattens arrive in better recent form — 2 wins from 10 matches (WLDLLW) against Wieselburg's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Wieselburg have averaged 0.46 goals per game recently while WSG Wattens have managed 3.03. WSG Wattens have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its WSG Wattens win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

WSG Wattens are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.32 projected against 1.30 for Wieselburg. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.03 is the clearest signal in the model that WSG Wattens are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. WSG Wattens are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • WSG Wattens have been conceding 1.59 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

WSG Wattens

WSG Wattens

L
@ Wolfsberger AC
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wieselburg vs WSG Wattens?

GoalVio's model predicts Wieselburg to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wieselburg vs WSG Wattens?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Wieselburg vs WSG Wattens?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wieselburg vs WSG Wattens?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more