Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Wiener Viktoria

Wiener Viktoria

Home
D
11
Full time
Wienerberg

Wienerberg

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Wienerberg33%
Wiener Viktoria33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Wiener Viktoria
33%
Draw
33%
Wienerberg
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wiener Viktoria
34
Wienerberg
73
Defence
Wiener Viktoria
66
Wienerberg
27
Momentum
Wiener Viktoria
33
Wienerberg
33
Danger (xG)
Wiener Viktoria
0.90
Wienerberg
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.63 xG for Wiener Viktoria and 2.17 xG for Wienerberg — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Wienerberg holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Wiener Viktoria's Attack Score (34) exceeds Wienerberg's Defensive Stability (27), and Wienerberg's attack (73) similarly tests Wiener Viktoria's defence (66). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.80 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Wiener Viktoria)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Wienerberg)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Wiener Viktoria)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Wienerberg)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wiener ViktoriaWiener Viktoria
DD
WienerbergWienerberg
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Wiener Viktoria33%
Draw33%
Wienerberg33%

Wienerberg leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Wiener Viktoria host Wienerberg in Friendlies Clubs. Wiener Viktoria have recorded LDWWDL in recent matches while Wienerberg arrive with a run of WWWWDL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

These sides have drawn 2 of their last 3 meetings. The historical pattern between these teams consistently produces tight, level results — a fixture tendency the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying numbers are also close.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 3 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Wiener Viktoria

Wiener Viktoria

D
vs SK Vorwarts Steyr
10 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
16 May 2026
00
Wienerberg

Wienerberg

D
vs First Vienna II
17 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wiener Viktoria vs Wienerberg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more