Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost
Friday, 31 July 202618:30Updated today
Wiener SC

Wiener SC

Home
D
vs
18:30
Favoritner AC

Favoritner AC

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Wiener SC(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Wiener SC
38%
Draw
28%
Favoritner AC
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wiener SC
9
Favoritner AC
100
Defence
Wiener SC
91
Favoritner AC
27
Momentum
Wiener SC
33
Favoritner AC
100
Danger (xG)
Wiener SC
0.00
Favoritner AC
4.50
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.43 xG for Wiener SC and 1.27 xG for Favoritner AC. Favoritner AC's projected xG of 1.27 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Wiener SC's Defensive Stability (91) and Favoritner AC's (27) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Wiener SC)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Favoritner AC)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Wiener SC)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Favoritner AC)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wiener SCWiener SC
D
Favoritner ACFavoritner AC
WD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Wiener SC38%
Draw28%
Favoritner AC34%

Wiener SC leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wiener SC Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Wiener SC take on Favoritner AC in Regionalliga - Ost.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Wiener SC's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 52% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Favoritner AC have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Wiener SC carry the stronger underlying metrics, Favoritner AC's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Wiener SC hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Wiener SC.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Wiener SC, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Favoritner AC score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Favoritner AC are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.16 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Wiener SC

Wiener SC

D
vs Oberwart
15 May 2026
00
Favoritner AC

Favoritner AC

W
@ Gleisdorf 09
10 Jul 2026
52
D
vs Neusiedl
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC?

GoalVio's model predicts Wiener SC to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wiener SC vs Favoritner AC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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