GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wiedenbrück · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wiedenbrück 0-3 VfL Osnabruck

Original prediction

Wiedenbrück

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.8015.6%44.2%28.6 pts
Draw5.2417.2%20.9%3.7 pts
Away1.3467.2%34.8%-32.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

28.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.3–27%

Predicted outcome

Wiedenbrück

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Wiedenbrück has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WiedenbrückLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VfL OsnabruckDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WiedenbrückVfL Osnabruck
81.5Attack79.2
59.3Defence41.7
81.5Form41.7
74.3Power50.9
3.21xG1.62
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