Wiedenbrückvs
Borussia M'gladbach II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia M'gladbach II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiedenbrück 1-4 Borussia M'gladbach II
Original prediction
Borussia M'gladbach II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 26.1% | 21.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 21.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.5% | 57.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Borussia M'gladbach II
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Borussia M'gladbach II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00