Wiedenbrückvs
Bonner SC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wiedenbrück 2-5 Bonner SC
Original prediction
Bonner SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.5% | 21.9% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.1% | 18.5% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.4% | 59.6% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60