Wieczysta Krakówvs
Zaglebie Lubin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wieczysta Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wieczysta Kraków 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Original prediction
Wieczysta Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.9% | 36.7% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.0% | 27.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 27.0% | 36.1% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Wieczysta Kraków
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Wieczysta Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40