Wieczysta Krakówvs
Wisla Plock
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wieczysta Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wieczysta Kraków 3-0 Wisla Plock
Original prediction
Wieczysta Kraków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.4% | 38.0% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 24.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 30.4% | 37.2% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wieczysta Kraków
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Wieczysta Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00