GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wieczysta Kraków · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wieczysta Kraków 4-3 Puszcza Niepołomice

Original prediction

Wieczysta Kraków

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4861.5%39.4%-22.1 pts
Draw4.2621.4%27.7%6.3 pts
Away5.3417.1%32.9%15.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Wieczysta Kraków

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Wieczysta Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wieczysta KrakówDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puszcza NiepołomiceLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wieczysta KrakówPuszcza Niepołomice
44.4Attack46.7
55.6Defence66.7
55.6Form57.8
53.4Power59.4
1.04xG1.28
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