Widzew IIvs
Wisła Płock II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew II 0-2 Wisła Płock II
Original prediction
Widzew II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 49.9% | 42.9% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.6% | 26.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.5% | 31.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Widzew II
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Widzew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20