Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew II 0-2 Weszlo
Original prediction
Widzew II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.5% | 37.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 27.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.9% | 34.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Widzew II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Widzew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Widzew IIDLLLL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WeszloLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Widzew IIWeszlo
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.65xG1.47