Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Widzew II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wasilków are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Widzew II hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Widzew II holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Widzew II
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Widzew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20