Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Widzew II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Swit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
7.4%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00