Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Widzew II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60