Widzew Łódźvs
Wisla Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew Łódź 0-0 Wisla Krakow
Original prediction
Wisla Krakow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.6% | 34.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.5% | 23.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.8% | 42.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Krakow
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Wisla Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40