Widzew Łódźvs
Wieczysta Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew Łódź · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew Łódź 2-2 Wieczysta Kraków
Original prediction
Widzew Łódź
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 49.6% | 45.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.3% | 26.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.2% | 28.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Widzew Łódź
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Widzew Łódź has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20