Widzew Łódźvs
Radomiak Radom
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/5/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew Łódź · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew Łódź 0-0 Radomiak Radom
Original prediction
Widzew Łódź
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.8% | 46.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.8% | 26.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.4% | 27.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Widzew Łódź
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Widzew Łódź has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40