Widzew Łódźvs
Lech Poznan
SCHEDULEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/30/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew Łódź · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Widzew Łódź are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lech Poznan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Ekstraklasa, while Widzew Łódź holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Widzew Łódź
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
14.5%
Widzew Łódź has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80